Poll How do you see the future of humankind?

What will be the future of humankind?

  • Сapitalistic democracy, every looser dreams about becoming a millionaire.

    Votes: 6 14.3%
  • Social democracy - these rich guys will make us happier somehow.

    Votes: 9 21.4%
  • The global rational planning of production/consumption. (The 'C' word?)

    Votes: 4 9.5%
  • When I will grow up I'll make them suffer! (any dystopia scenario like Orwell's etc.)

    Votes: 2 4.8%
  • Every state will be on it's own, no complete globalization ever.

    Votes: 3 7.1%
  • We will fight with clubs in the Fourth World War (degradation of humankind)

    Votes: 5 11.9%
  • The neutrinos will boil the Earth core in 2012, you know (humankind will be perished)

    Votes: 2 4.8%
  • Another opinion (please specify)

    Votes: 11 26.2%

  • Total voters
    42

T.Neo

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I do not think the solution is "deprivation of rights and freedoms", but rather and education of more economically impoverished societies and interest in solutions to resource problems.

Energy crises will lead to the end of civilisation if everyone sits around and claims there is no solution. That, and when governments impose silly taxes. That is an example of human nature failing at leadership.

I find a lot of the dystopian notions of the future here a bit funny... a good portion of the global population already lives that way, or worse.

it heavily depends on how I define the terms "civilisation", "society" and "fail

Yeah... it is interesting how even after the fall of the Roman empire, Rome has been quite influential part of the world due to being the center of the Catholic church.

I had an idea that these societies are looking bad from our 'free society' perspective only

Yeah, because once you are indoctrinated into losing your freedom, you won't know any better. :rolleyes:
 

PeterRoss

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You see, market economy is not a designed, controlled pattern. It is what happens if you let the rules unfold. Therefore, humans will naturally tend to this kind of economy.

Your idea of controlling markets to reduce energy "production" may sound logical, but it raises some questions hard to answer:
1. Who determines what customers need and what they do not need?
2. Who will organize and coordinate the energy distribution around the world?

Both questions have the only possible answer: those who already have resourses to control and distribute. I believe for now it will be some originally economical institutions like giant corporations. They will have opportunity to take control and they will take it - because they are headed by humans, of course. And what will be after that is of great interest for me, but I don't think the free market ideology will make sense in this world.



This is one of the laws of nature our "gaseous fluid" have to deal with. Resources are limited.

Yes, but they can be limited in different way. We can spend everything in a fifty years - and we can stretch it for five hundred years.



In essence, you propose communism here. By reducing individual freedom and rights, you automatically set grounds for rebellion. It is not because humans are dumb, but because humans are humans.

It is bad when you deprive people of their luxuries in a moment. But you can do it gradually and with explanation of its necessity. Machiavellian methods vice versa.
(It happens already, by the way. No rebellions because of it.)


Yes. History tells us, that they all failed sooner or later. No human community lasted "forever". This is my opinion, of course, and it heavily depends on how I define the terms "civilisation", "society" and "fail". What I think is, that no ordered and well organized human community survived for longer than about 500 years in the past.

And that's the point. Of course everything fails at some moment. But when we have to chose between dying now and 'failing' during next few decades or even ages while being alive I'll pick 'failing'.


The point here is "heading". What is "heading" or "leading"? It implies that one person or a group of persons is stearing the community into a rationally deduced direction. But humans are individuals and as such have often vastly different opinions on what is "rationally deduced" and what is not. If the leaders are going into a direction that cause suffering for some or all of their community (reduce population growth, "forcing" energy demands), it will cause the community to uproar, eventually ending in rebellion.
Therefore, leaders tend to do what the majority of the community wants to do, and this is not necessarily what is the rational thing to do. It is mostly the exact opposite of what is the rational thing to do, because dealing with limited resources is dealing with reducing life-style, life-span and - of course - reducing the amount of kids you can have.
And you can bet that everyone is thinking he deserves to have as much kids and as much life-style and as much life-span as his/her neighbour has. And if this everyone has enough of it, he just wants a little more, to be better than his neighbour.

Yes, it is just as you've said. But I have to repeat: if the living standards will be lowering gradually and because of obvious reasons it will be no major riots. And there is always such thing as propaganda (and the total consumerism is just a result of it, and not the human nature)
By the way, I don't remember much of national leaders doing what the majority of their communities wants to do lately.


This is what we are, after all, and if we change that, we are not talking about future of mankind anymore, because we'd transmute into something like ants or borgs.

Is it better to have civilization destroyed?

---------- Post added at 12:54 AM ---------- Previous post was at 12:51 AM ----------

Yeah, because once you are indoctrinated into losing your freedom, you won't know any better. :rolleyes:

Aren't you indoctrinated to believe that your personal freedom is more important than the survival of human civilization?

---------- Post added at 12:58 AM ---------- Previous post was at 12:54 AM ----------

I find a lot of the dystopian notions of the future here a bit funny... a good portion of the global population already lives that way, or worse.

In fact, the word 'worse' can be hardly implemented to the living style of people from dystopias I've mentioned. They were quite happy in general. And that's why I've said Orwell's world was too hardcore.
 

Ghostrider

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What a cliche. I can find some quotes from Lenin if you want;)

May be a cliché but I hold to its meaning. Would you think a civilization based on slavery is worthy of surviving? I don't. The moment rules stop serving humans and humans start serving rules, something is really wrong.

I can find some quotes from Timothy Dalton as James Bond if you want. ;)
 

T.Neo

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Aren't you indoctrinated to believe that your personal freedom is more important than the survival of human civilization?

No, because:

A: My personal freedom is more or less ineffectual to the survival of human civilisation.

B: Reducing personal freedom would only endanger the peace.

In fact, the word 'worse' can be hardly implemented to the living style of people from dystopias I've mentioned. They were quite happy in general. And that's why I've said Orwell's world was too hardcore.

Yeah... just because they were happy in a book, doesn't mean that it would work in reality.

And their personal freedom was really nonexistant, even if it was offset by gratituitous sex and drug use.

EDIT:

The moment rules stop serving humans and humans start serving rules, something is really wrong.

I think that sums it up best. ;)
 

PeterRoss

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May be a cliché but I hold to its meaning. Would you think a civilization based on slavery is worthy of surviving? I don't. The moment rules stop serving humans and humans start serving rules, something is really wrong.

Then let me rephrase the saying you've used:

Any civilization that doesn't hold it's own survival as one of its most important values does not deserve to survive.

More obvious than variant used by you, isn't it?

No, because:
A: My personal freedom is more or less ineffectual to the survival of human civilisation.

You're wrong because your personal freedom is not just your personal business but the major principle of democratic society. I'm just talking about saving the civilization and you feel already that your personal freedom is in danger. Quite effectual, I must say.

B: Reducing personal freedom would only endanger the peace.

Why?


Yeah... just because they were happy in a book, doesn't mean that it would work in reality.

Are you happy with our current society?
 

T.Neo

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Any civilization that doesn't hold it's own survival as one of its most important values does not deserve to survive.

Then we become the aforementioned Ants or Borg. Existing just to exist is not existence.

You're wrong because your personal freedom is not just your personal business but the major principle of democratic society. I'm just talking about saving the civilization and you feel already that your personal freedom is in danger. Quite effectual, I must say.

No, I'm right because that major principle of democractic society is not what leads to failure of civilisations.

You are not talking about saving the civilisation, by reducing personal freedom. And while you think that this may be a desirable and plausible means of doing such a thing, I'm sure a good deal of people would disagree.


Because people will dislike you for it and attempt to replace you with another leadership that does not squash their human rights.

Are you happy with our current society?

I am unhappy with society, but not the principles of society. Because society does not always uphold those principles...
 

PeterRoss

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Then we become the aforementioned Ants or Borg. Existing just to exist is not existence.

Then what for is your personal existense?


No, I'm right because that major principle of democractic society is not what leads to failure of civilisations.

Heh, then WHAT leads to failure of civilization? It's not our squander way of living, it's that darn energy which decided to disappear.


You are not talking about saving the civilisation, by reducing personal freedom. And while you think that this may be a desirable and plausible means of doing such a thing, I'm sure a good deal of people would disagree.


Maybe they wil agree when they have nothing to eat?


Because people will dislike you for it and attempt to replace you with another leadership that does not squash their human rights.

Even if they will understand the necessity of doing so?


I am unhappy with society, but not the principles of society. Because society does not always uphold those principles...

But you've agreed with Ghostrider that rules must serve humans. Society is humans, and since it doesn't want to uphold it's principles, isn't it the time for anarchy already?
 

Ghostrider

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Then let me rephrase the saying you've used:

Any civilization that doesn't hold it's own survival as one of its most important values does not deserve to survive.

More obvious than variant used by you, isn't it?

Right if it's one of its most important values. Not the most important. What happens when because of internal of external factors that civilization's values change?
What happens when your previously freedom-loving civilization believes that the individual's rights can be stepped upon in order to preserve the whole?
Are we still in Kansas, Toto, or do we need a pair of ruby slippers?
As far as I'm concerned a civilization is based on a set of principles that, when violated or altered, automatically alter the whole of it. We're not on the same ground anymore, and personally I'm not fond of any civilization that doesn't hold its members' freedoms and rights paramount (or viacom, I'm not up with the mergings).
 

PeterRoss

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Right if it's one of its most important values. Not the most important. What happens when because of internal of external factors that civilization's values change?
What happens when your previously freedom-loving civilization believes that the individual's rights can be stepped upon in order to preserve the whole?
Are we still in Kansas, Toto, or do we need a pair of ruby slippers?
As far as I'm concerned a civilization is based on a set of principles that, when violated or altered, automatically alter the whole of it. We're not on the same ground anymore, and personally I'm not fond of any civilization that doesn't hold its members' freedoms and rights paramount (or viacom, I'm not up with the mergings).

Pun taken:lol:

Hmmm, I don't know how to put it in some other way. OK, imagine you're on some luxury sea ship enjoying your vacation. And then suddenly here comes captain saying there is some problem with engines and fuel tanks are empty and all such unpleasant stuff, and noone will help us because radio is broken (and there is noone to help, if we back into reality for a moment). And the only way to survive for everyone is to take that really big oar and row, row, row you boat, really big one and luxury, to the shore that is some hundred miles away. No more vacant passengers, only rowers and captain directing the ship. That's what I was trying to say.
 

T.Neo

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Heh, then WHAT leads to failure of civilization? It's not our squander way of living, it's that darn energy which decided to disappear.

Yeah... that depends on the will to go looking for it again. ;)

Maybe they wil agree when they have nothing to eat?

Once they have nothing to eat any attempt to govern the population is going to be pretty pointless.

Even if they will understand the necessity of doing so?

They won't, because there won't be a necessity.

Society is humans, and since it doesn't want to uphold it's principles, isn't it the time for anarchy already?

Yeah... it is a sort of anarchy, but it's a good thing that we have the system and the laws that we do.
 

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No more vacant passengers, only rowers and captain directing the ship. That's what I was trying to say.

There's a little difference here: first of all, it's temporary situation. Everybody who steps on a plane or boards a ship should understand that they acknowledge that the crew is in charge and they can and will boss you around as long as you're aboard. Your captain is not going to play Skeletor and set himself Master of the Universe once you've reached terra firma - and if he does, someone He-Man enough will hopefully set him straight.

However, if the aforementioned said captain decides to name himself Emperor of Love Boat and make every passenger his minion, someone will break into the trapshoot shotgun locker and put a swift end to his reign of terror - as it should be.

Changing the whole values of an entire civilization is another thing entirely. For instance, if the Swiss government decided that democracy is so not cool and "to survive" we need to turn into a nihilist dictatorship to put the Daleks to shame, I'll either get my arse to Barcelona (the planet, not the city) or head to Bern and lightsaber some sense into them.
 

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Interesting to see that many folks here share my view of humanity. Interesting discussion, too.

I have one more opinion here regarding something PeterRoss said in defense of his "communism will save us"-theory:

It is bad when you deprive people of their luxuries in a moment. But you can do it gradually and with explanation of its necessity. Machiavellian methods vice versa.
(It happens already, by the way. No rebellions because of it.)

My personal believe is that a slow decline of life-style and energy-use in a commanded and directed way is not going to work.

It is not even going to work if it is NOT commanded and directed, but instead caused by the very rules themselfs. And exactly this is what happens already. Remember the uproars during the bank crisis? Governments helped them out, so the rebellions were stopped before they happened. Who will help out the governments next time? I guess what we see in Greece now is what we're about to see world-wide in no time.

Now Greece uproars are not really rebellions. But imagine their situation repeated every year, world-wide...
 

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Now Greece uproars are not really rebellions. But imagine their situation repeated every year, world-wide...

To get a rebellion, you need some critical mass. Enough people must be pissed off enough and must not have a lot to lose and in today's world it's pretty hard. Unless you're homeless you still have a good lot to lose: get branded as a troublemaker and say goodbye to any chance to getting any form of gainful employment forever. As long as the majority has something to eat and a roof over their heads, rebellion on a large scale is unlikely.

But what can happen is disruption, and this can be caused without too much drama. A lot in today's world doesn't depend solely on everyone doing their job, but on most doing it very well. Nobody can fire or punish you for simply doing what's required and nothing more, or for not putting some zeal in your work, and in a lot of areas this can lead to substandard performance or even failure. We're going to see a lot of this in the future for both spontaneous ("they ain't going to pay me more for this so I'm not busting my arse") and organized reasons. That and a lot of social tension which is going to be be very bad.

And sometimes, "accidents" will happen.
 

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OK, I've got your cumulative point. The humanity will keep multiply and replenish, the energy and resources will be running short and then someday humans will rebel against their governments demanding to keep their living standards from decreasing. The rebels will throw them down (and many of you guys will be among the crowd, as you've said) - and then what? Where the new governments will get resources from? No living standards will be restored due to revolts. No point in these riots. It is not a some sensible solution.

Still do you think the guys in charge that stupid? ... Oh, I'm afraid they are:(


Funny thing, guys, but your opinions just point out the fact that there is no other way of getting through this trouble but with the use of mass terror. And why not? General populace are rioting demanding luxuries they cannot have anymore, so why not just eliminate half of the populace and scare to death the other one? Looks like there is nothing else what can help us out.
Well, in fact, there is some other way. It's principally the same as I've said, but we can use bioweapons instead of bullets. And we may even not to say to people we've done that. Why, some new disease are mowing down people and we can't do anything about it. We are reducing the populace, we're scaring to death the remnants and we're getting control. Why not, if humans are so human that they're unable to rationalize their lives even for the sake of survival?

(Please note this is not the propaganda of violence or some other bad stuff, it's just a peaceful discussion which is logically evolving by it's own way. No one will gonna kill people after reading or participating in it.)
 

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Human rights aren't luxuries. The world isn't going to rebel because they don't have plasma TVs. If this was the case a the underdeveloped and developing world would have caused a world war long ago. People are going to rebel however if you take away their basic human rights.

Killing half the population and terrorising the other is a bad mass murder and extremely oppressive regime. If someone outside of that government does not put a stop to it, the population will, sooner or later. What troops are going to shoot to kill if their very families are at risk? What scientists and distribution personnel are going to create pathogens when they could blindly kill anyone they know?

Compared to such notions, Orwell's 1984 is positively rosy.
 

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Human rights aren't luxuries. The world isn't going to rebel because they don't have plasma TVs. If this was the case a the underdeveloped and developing world would have caused a world war long ago. People are going to rebel however if you take away their basic human rights.

When it comes to limiting the resource/energy consumption luxuries somehow become mixed with human rights. You'll see it.



Killing half the population and terrorising the other is a bad mass murder and extremely oppressive regime. If someone outside of that government does not put a stop to it, the population will, sooner or later. What troops are going to shoot to kill if their very families are at risk? What scientists and distribution personnel are going to create pathogens when they could blindly kill anyone they know?

Do you really think there will be lack of such people when the time will come?


Compared to such notions, Orwell's 1984 is positively rosy.

Hey, I've tried my best to find a more peaceful solution. But I'm open to any other proposals. Make your offer.
 

T.Neo

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Hey, I've tried my best to find a more peaceful solution. But I'm open to any other proposals. Make your offer.

Yeah... I think the thing here is that there really isn't a serious look into the energy crisis, potential problems spawing from the energy crisis, and the nature of and treatment for those problems.

Even in the poorest of nations human rights are upheld, unless they are violated by criminals. And confusion of human rights with "luxuries" and that they should be violated for "survival" of civilisation really means that such a "civilisation"- if it even has the right to be called that- doesn't deserve to exist.
 
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