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I may be wrong, but why do I get this gut feeling it headed for the USA?
Pretty small likelihood IMHO. Whilst the next couple of orbits do indeed go across the USA (south to north), there's a much greater amount of orbit not over the USA.
Plus the USA is a pretty big place, and this thing is only the size of a car. I guess there'll be more people getting injured in car accidents tonight than GOCE incidents.