Spaceflight in 21st century: forecasts

SiberianTiger

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I intend this thread to be a holder for all on-topical forecasts, but what's pushed me was printing the book "Astronautics of XXI Century: Attempt of a Forecast of Development Till 2101" recently edited by [ame="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Boris_Chertok"]Boris Chertok[/ame] accompanied by [ame="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Yuri_Baturin"]Yuri Baturin[/ame], which is an anthology of futurology articles written by many renowned scientists, technical specialists and even science fiction writers, devoted to how spaceflight will develop in the current century.

I think I'm going to buy the book on this week to myself.

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If you can withstand listening to his accent for a 50 minutes, this link leads to a video of Yuri Baturin presenting their book last Thursday in Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars, it's quite interesting and unorthodoxal:
http://www.c-spanarchives.org/program/id/225215

In short words: Somewhat surprisingly, they foresee little role for Russia in space past the 2020s, with the United States and China as the dominant players. They anticipate significant militarization of space and the first "space war" about 2050. They assert it will last two years and the results will be just like World War II - favorable to the United States. The pièce de résistance as the next century begins will be a "shocking event" according to Baturin: the first launch of an "artificial space pilot: not an automated device, but the product of artificial life." It terms of its impact on humanity, he likened it to Yuri Gagarin's 1961 flight that placed the first human into space.
 
Futurists are fascinating, but I grew up listening to them and most of their stuff didn't come true. It's 2010 and I'm still waiting for an automated flying car, a robot that does all my chores, and a plane ticket to the Moon on Pan Am.

Hard to dream like when I was a child; failed prophecies make one cynical. But ti's still fun to think about.
 
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