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Thanks for the info and links. I gather for that landing delta-V you are using the equation discussed in the thread Numbers in the appendix of Arthur C. Clarke's 1945 classic paper.
That result seems too high to me though. The delta-v for the ascent or descent to lunar orbit is about 1,870 m/s. This only about a gravity loss of 200 m/s. The gravity loss is given by the gravitational acceleration times the time of the burn. I don't think the burn time would be that much greater for this case compared to the orbital case.
Bob Clark
Don't underestimate the effect of flight path angle. You forget that lunar orbit means that you already have slowed down for entering orbit. Entering this orbit is also done with less gravity losses, since you are burning with only small angles from the ideal tangent, while a direct descent means that you start with a pretty high flight path angle, that approaches 90° along the way, while a normal landing from lunar orbit starts at 0° FPA and then slowly approaches 90° as the velocity and altitude drops.
Much more coarse fact check: You start at 2491 m/s and are vertically descending. Your engine gives you an acceleration of 20 m/s², gravity accelerates you downward by 1.6 m/s².
This means you need [math]\frac{2491}{20 - 1.6} = 135[/math] seconds for slowing down to zero. Makes 2707 m/s... which is pretty close to [math]2491 \times 1.08 [/math] ... and you need to start slowing down already in 167.67 km altitude.