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So after watching, then reading, the President's remarks at KSC last week, I get the strong impression that Obama really wants something innovative and new in a HLV for NEO, Mars and beyond, not just a rehashing of DIRECT or a reconfigured Constellation derivative. He used terms like "groundbreaking" and "breakthrough" several times, which suggests, to me anyway, he really wants something exceptional to come out of NASA for the next stage in American manned spaceflight.
My question is: what does he have in mind? It seems to me that chemical rocket motors can only be so efficient, and beyond a certain point, it wouldn't matter how much money you toss into R&D, your rate of increase in efficiency will stagnate. Thrust and ISP can only be raised so far.
So either he expects a radical next-generation in chemical rocket motors, or something else? Any thoughts?
Also, I guess I'm having trouble with the math involved in the plan and hoped someone can help me out. The Obama plan is to spend $3 billion on designing a new HLV for final approval by no later than 2015. But, we've already spent what, $9 billion on Constellation, which is supposedly the best that NASA could come up with given the constraints of the anticipated federal budgets.
I know I'm a product of the Pennsylvania public school system, so correct me if my logic has failed horribly somewhere: if $9 billion gave us Ares utilizing more-or-less existing technology, how the devil is $3 billion supposed to give us "breakthrough" or "groundbreaking" technologies plus the vehicle to utilize these technologies on?
Please note, I don't want to open up the whole argument for or against Obama's plan again; it's already been done on other threads. I'm just interested in what some of these breakthrough advances may entail. Because it seems to me that NASA and others have been working on the problem of moving beyond chemical rockets for quite some time, and the results are, thus far, very slow to realization.
My question is: what does he have in mind? It seems to me that chemical rocket motors can only be so efficient, and beyond a certain point, it wouldn't matter how much money you toss into R&D, your rate of increase in efficiency will stagnate. Thrust and ISP can only be raised so far.
So either he expects a radical next-generation in chemical rocket motors, or something else? Any thoughts?
Also, I guess I'm having trouble with the math involved in the plan and hoped someone can help me out. The Obama plan is to spend $3 billion on designing a new HLV for final approval by no later than 2015. But, we've already spent what, $9 billion on Constellation, which is supposedly the best that NASA could come up with given the constraints of the anticipated federal budgets.
I know I'm a product of the Pennsylvania public school system, so correct me if my logic has failed horribly somewhere: if $9 billion gave us Ares utilizing more-or-less existing technology, how the devil is $3 billion supposed to give us "breakthrough" or "groundbreaking" technologies plus the vehicle to utilize these technologies on?
Please note, I don't want to open up the whole argument for or against Obama's plan again; it's already been done on other threads. I'm just interested in what some of these breakthrough advances may entail. Because it seems to me that NASA and others have been working on the problem of moving beyond chemical rockets for quite some time, and the results are, thus far, very slow to realization.