Pioneer
Well-known member
I think we're in the realm of wild fiction. I have the feeling you're going to keep your job and roam around this forum for many years to come, like it or not If not... it won't change anything. You can ready a backpack with 2 weeks of supplies and iodine tabs, if it helps you to sleep better.
I also have the strong feeling it won't end well for Ukraine. Bad place to be those days, sad to say. Russia can't hand it over to NATO, that's too "next door". I also don't think it is very smart to be willing to expand NATO to ex-SSSR countries, which is France and Germany official diplomatic stance. From Russia's perspective it is a very aggressive move, an insult and a threat, and that's something everyone should understand.
My way would be to have some kind of "neutral commonwealth" from Finland to the Balkans, nations that accept its not their interest or own good to take any side from a military standpoint (given that they actually are between a hammer and an anvil), which doesn't prevent any kind of trade agreements or some discount on natural gas flowing through.
Sounds like you would like something along the lines of Józef Piłsudski's "Intermarium" idea. Somewhat of a revival of the old Polish-Lithuanian Commonwealth but expanded to even more countries: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Intermarium
As for NATO expansion, I heard the argument that it is due to this expansion that Russia is acting out, and that sometime in the 90's there was some informal agreement that NATO would not expand further eastward? That could be all Putinist propaganda.